Beginner Mafia Game #1

[minjae]

We should. Where is everyone? So many people not posting o.O

[TheFallen927]

Sorry for not posting just got back on my computer so my previous posts were on my phone. Anyway we could get other players to discuss random topics to see if we can determine if they are mafia or not.

[Wolfenstinger]

Unvote

Vote Trigger Unhappy

Just a hunch at the moment. Nothing more.

[Passarelli]

Nemesis, what is your opinion on no lynching day 1 with an even number of players?

[Nemesis]

Nemesis, what is your opinion on no lynching day 1 with an even number of players?

Lynching Day 1 increases the chance of hitting someone useful, however there are at least 3 VTs in the set up. If there is a cop you'll get information tomorrow, however if there isn't you're probably not much better off.

[Passarelli]

Unvote
No Lynch

As long as Scum doesn't hit a power role night 1, we should be better off on day 2. Our odds will increase even if the cop (if we even have one) doesn't successfully find scum. The cop will also gain an extra night of investigations by no lynching.

We also gained some useful data from the lynch trains thus far. Hosh was very close to being lynched (within 2 votes with 2 scum). It is interesting that he didn't get lynched. Scum was either afk during that, or likely already voted for him (if Hosh isn't scum).

[Wolfenstinger]

Unvote

Vote No Lynch

Kay. I'll just eye it then from here.

[phil.™]

I'm still not for a no lynch. With 8 players, we have a legit shot at targeting scum. Mafia will target a possible power role or town freely without worry.

[hoshiro-]

hmmm interisting

[Passarelli]

I've been trying to reason out a few clues provided by the voting data and if you vote for one of those I feel is suspicious, I might switch back.

My point was that we lose on our 2nd mislynch. If we lynch today and tomorrow our odds at sucessfully hitting scum are 2/8 and 2/6 (if we miss the first night). If we lynch tomorrow and day 3, our odds would be 2/7 and 2/5 which are slightly better. As long as Scum hits a VT (6/6 odds to 4/6 depending on roles) rather then a power role we will be better off tomorrow then we are today.