To humor you a little more, I'll even look at the chance to NOT hit mafia each day--first lynching each day followed by no lynch the first day.

d1 7/9. d2 5/7. d3 3/5. The odds of not hitting a mafia and losing by night 3 is: 7/9 * 5/7 * 3/5 = 105/315 = 33.3%
d1 9/9. d2 6/8. d3 is 4/6. The odds of not hitting a mafia and losing by night 3 is 9/9 * 6/8 * 4/6 = 24/48 = 50%

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Quote Originally Posted by DJ_MikeyRevile View Post
Im silent due to lack of knowldge at this point. Reviewing the thread and cathing up for before i make a post and look like an utter clown.
By the by, 'reviewing and cathing up' likely won't make you look an less like Stephen King's IT. I'm going to start calling you Pennywise.

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any* less. God fucking damnit. >_>