12 people im still going 3 mafia, 2 is waaaay to small given they could be offed by the serial killer, investigated, etc. Its role madness which means everyone has abilities, 2 guys against 10 seems too low. If Nem is a lyncher, I really don't care, the only problem is if he is, then going into the night we are down to 8 people, then for sure only 2 mafia if 2 third party, that would be 6 v 2, assume one dies, that's 5 v 2 going into the day, numbers are still good, and more information should be apparent. If there are 3 mafia, and Nem is one, well then he dies the next day, our math does not really change that much, 6 v 3 going into the night, 5 v 3 the next day, provided a protective role does not come into play, kill nem, 5 v 2 into night, then 4 v 2 the next day, numbers are still good.

We can kill Ass now, see how things look, then lynch Phil the next day.