logical enough assessment, but that "least likely" should be taken with a grain of salt because of the relatively low amount of people who we can draw info from. could be that wolf's mafia, like you said appeasing the crowd, and the other mafia have yet to weigh in/weigh in with anything of value.
i think logically, yes, wolf's probably townie. but i'm also weary because he's the kind of guy who you think you've got right where you want him, then he stabs you in the back. sneaky lil fucker.